Typology of Urban Sprawl Based on Its Characteristics and Intensity in Mijen Subdistrict, Semarang City, Indonesia

Authors

  • Hilmy Abiyyu Nirwana Faculty of Engineering, Universitas Semarang, Semarang - Indonesia Author

Keywords:

urban sprawl, peri-urban development, land-use change, Land Change Modeler, GIS, Mijen Subdistrict

Abstract

Mijen District has experienced rapid urban expansion driven by population growth and infrastructure development, resulting in the conversion of non-built-up land into built-up areas. While urban sprawl has been widely studied, research integrating sprawl typology assessment with future land-use prediction in peri-urban areas remains limited. This study aims to identify the driving factors of urban sprawl, classify its typologies and intensity, and predict land-use changes in 2032. A quantitative approach was employed using descriptive, spatial, and inferential analyses supported by ArcMap and the Land Change Modeler in TerrSet 2020. The results indicate three levels of urban sprawl: low (Jatisari), moderate (Wonoplumbon and Cangkiran), and high (Bubakan and Karangmalang). The main driving factors include infrastructure expansion, population growth, and uncontrolled migration. Land-use prediction for 2032 indicates the continued expansion of built-up areas, particularly in zones with high urban sprawl intensity. This study contributes to urban sprawl research by integrating spatial typology analysis with future land-use modeling and provides a basis for spatial planning policies aimed at controlling urban expansion and promoting sustainable peri-urban development.

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Published

2026-06-30

Issue

Vol. 1 No. 1 (2026): January-June

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Articles

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Copyright (c) 2026 Hilmy Abiyyu Nirwana (Author)

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